Kerala’s New Draft Regulation Enhances Forecasting And Scheduling For Wind- Solar Hybrid Projects

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Representational image. Credit: Canva

The Kerala State Electricity Regulatory Commission has introduced a draft regulation aimed at improving the forecasting and scheduling of hybrid projects in Kerala. This initiative is a significant step towards optimizing the integration of renewable energy sources, ensuring grid stability, and enhancing overall energy management within the state.

The draft regulation defines hybrid projects as those that combine different sources of renewable energy, such as solar and wind, to generate electricity. The primary objective of this regulation is to ensure accurate forecasting and scheduling of power generation from these hybrid projects to maintain a balance between supply and demand, which is crucial for the stability of the power grid.

A key aspect of the draft regulation is the requirement for hybrid project developers to submit detailed generation forecasts. These forecasts need to be prepared on a day-ahead and intra-day basis, allowing grid operators to anticipate the amount of electricity that will be generated and adjust their operations accordingly. This proactive approach helps in mitigating the inherent variability and intermittency associated with renewable energy sources.

The regulation mandates the use of advanced forecasting tools and techniques to improve the accuracy of generation predictions. Developers are required to employ weather forecasting models, historical generation data, and other relevant factors to generate precise forecasts. This level of detail and accuracy is expected to reduce the instances of grid imbalance and ensure a more reliable supply of electricity to consumers.

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In addition to forecasting, the regulation emphasizes the importance of scheduling. Hybrid project developers must provide a detailed schedule of their expected power generation to the State Load Despatch Centre (SLDC). This schedule should include information on the expected generation for each 15-minute time block throughout the day. By providing this granular level of detail, the SLDC can make informed decisions regarding the dispatch of electricity, thus maintaining grid stability.

To enforce compliance, the draft regulation includes provisions for penalties in case of significant deviations between the forecasted and actual generation. If the actual generation deviates beyond a specified threshold, developers may be subject to penalties. This measure is intended to encourage developers to invest in accurate forecasting and scheduling technologies and practices.

Furthermore, the draft regulation outlines the responsibilities of various stakeholders involved in the process. The SLDC is tasked with monitoring the forecasts and schedules submitted by the developers and taking necessary actions to manage any discrepancies. The developers, on the other hand, are responsible for ensuring the accuracy of their forecasts and adhering to the schedules provided.

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The regulation also highlights the need for capacity building and training programs to enhance the skills of personnel involved in forecasting and scheduling. By equipping them with the necessary knowledge and tools, the state aims to improve the overall efficiency and effectiveness of its renewable energy integration efforts.

The introduction of this draft regulation marks a significant milestone in Kerala’s journey towards a more sustainable and resilient energy system. By focusing on accurate forecasting and scheduling, the state is taking proactive steps to address the challenges posed by the increasing penetration of renewable energy sources. This regulation not only ensures grid stability but also promotes the optimal utilization of renewable energy, thereby contributing to Kerala’s renewable energy goals and reducing its dependence on conventional fossil fuel-based power generation.

The Kerala State Electricity Regulatory Commission’s draft regulation for the forecasting and scheduling of hybrid projects is a forward-thinking initiative that addresses the complexities of integrating renewable energy into the power grid. Through accurate forecasting, detailed scheduling, and stringent compliance measures, the regulation aims to enhance grid stability, ensure a reliable supply of electricity, and promote the efficient use of renewable energy resources in Kerala.โ€‹

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Please view the document here for more details.


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