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Vietnam’s New Power Plan Eyes 839 GW by 2050 with 66% Renewables and ASEAN Exports

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Representational image. Credit: Canva

Vietnam has officially approved its revised Power Development Plan 8 (PDP8), setting the stage for a sweeping energy transition that aims to balance rapid economic growth with climate responsibility. The plan, which covers the 2021–2030 period with a vision to 2050, outlines aggressive targets for power generation, emissions control, and renewable energy deployment.

At the forefront of the strategy is energy security to fuel economic expansion. The government projects GDP growth of 10% from 2026 to 2030, and 7.5% beyond, driving electricity demand from 500–558 billion kWh by 2030 to an estimated 1,375 billion kWh in 2050. To meet this surge, installed capacity will grow to nearly 100 GW by 2030 and a staggering 229 GW by mid-century.

Environmental sustainability is a parallel priority. PDP8 caps carbon emissions at 197–199 million tons CO₂ by 2030, with an ambitious reduction to 27 million tons by 2050. Under the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP), emissions may fall even further, to 170 million tons by 2030. The plan also emphasizes smart grid upgrades and renewable energy integration.

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Vietnam envisions itself as a regional green powerhouse, aiming to establish two major renewable energy hubs by 2030 and export up to 10,000 MW of electricity to ASEAN neighbors by 2035.

The power mix will see significant shifts. By 2030, the system will comprise up to 236 GW—31% solar, 32% wind (onshore and offshore), and 15% hydro, alongside LNG, coal, nuclear, and imports. By 2050, capacity could reach 839 GW, with renewables leading: solar (38%), offshore wind (17%), and onshore wind (11%).

This landmark decision solidifies Vietnam’s commitment to a sustainable, secure, and export-oriented energy future.


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