The Central Electricity Authority (CEA) in India has released draft guidelines to encourage power utilities to prepare uniform power demand forecasts to improve infrastructure planning.
The guidelines suggest that forecasts should be prepared for both medium-term and long-term periods. Medium-term forecasts should span more than one year and up to five years, while long-term forecasts should be for at least ten years.
The guidelines recommend that power utilities should prepare three scenarios, including optimistic, business-as-usual, and pessimistic. The CEA has also suggested that all stakeholders, including industrial, agricultural, municipal corporations, drinking water departments, captive power plant owners, and other departments involved in electrical energy-intensive schemes, should be consulted in the forecasting process.
While the forecasts should be prepared at the discom/state level at least, more granular forecasts should be attempted at lower levels if adequate data is available. The regulator expects these granular forecasts to be more useful in power infrastructure planning. The CEA has invited public feedback on the draft guidelines until May 11.
View the official document here: